Predictably Profitable Bitcoin Signal Flashing Again: Excitement Awaits as Historically Accurate Indicator Fires Up
Are you ready to dive deep into the world of Bitcoin? With the Bitcoin Super Signal flashing once again, it's time to see if it's signaling another bout of latent momentum. buckle up!
Is Quiet Volume the Loudest Signal Yet?
Bitcoin's price has taken a slight dip since peaking at $111,970 on May 22, settling around $103,300 as of June 6, a decline of about 8%. However, heralding a different story, institutional appetite remains robust. US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded approximately $5.24 billion in net inflows during May, suggesting that investor interest has not subsided along with the slowing price momentum.
Meanwhile, sentiment indicators paint a neutral picture. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index stands at 46, placing the market in the "Neutral" zone, eagerly awaiting further triggers. Amidst this lukewarm atmosphere, on-chain analyst CryptoCon has identified a striking pattern: the "Bitcoin Super Signal."
This signal, historically consistent, triggers when trading volumes plummet to record lows while prices persist in an overarching uptrend. According to CryptoCon's data, current trading volume is at its lowest level since 2014, meeting the criteria for only three previous instances – each one followed by a significant bull run.
But there's no clear indication that the current cycle has reached its pinnacle. Bitcoin continues to trade within bullish territory, while volume steadily declines. Historically, this combination has preceded sharp upward moves, even though the market may appear calm on the surface.
What does the Super Signal really mean?
So, what can we expect from this mysterious signal now? To understand its implications, we must take a closer look at its past appearances, analyze how each one unfolded, and discern why it often emerges during tranquil market conditions.
Cracking the Code: Decoding the Super Signal
In Bitcoin's chart history, strong rallies frequently erupt following extended periods of low activity. The Volume Oscillator Super Signal is one of the few indicators that catches this pattern, using volume instead of price as its leading input.
It reveals periods when trading activity virtually grinds to a halt while the overall trend remains upward, indicating that most sellers have likely exited, and buyers are accumulating with negligible resistance. This liquidity situation implies that even moderate demand can propel prices higher when market momentum resumes.
In 2012, the signal emerged when Bitcoin was trading below $15. Over the following year, the price skyrocketed more than 10,600%, heralding the 2013 bull cycle that thrust Bitcoin into mainstream awareness.
The next instance happened in October 2016, with Bitcoin trading near $700. The surge that followed peaked around $20,000 in late 2017, marking an increase of 3,461% from the signal to the cycle top. Once again, the signal didn't arise at moments of retail frenzy, but during quiet periods of steady price growth and low enthusiasm.
This pattern repeated in September 2023. Bitcoin was trading around $25,000, volume plummeted into the "extreme low" zone, and the market remained skittish due to macro uncertainty. Within six months, Bitcoin reached $75,000, posting a 200% gain.
The Market is Still in the Mix
The latest Super Signal appeared in June 2025, with the Volume Oscillator sinking into the "extreme low" zone once more. Current readings show the lowest volume level since 2014, despite Bitcoin still trading above $100,000 and US spot ETFs continuing to attract multi-billion dollar inflows.
This contrast seems paradoxical, yet historically, low volume in a bullish setup often suggests that sellers have vacated the market and buyers are quietly accumulating. As a result, market depth narrows, and even modest influxes of capital can move prices substantially.
Chart data reaffirms this pattern by way of color-coded volume zones. Red boxes, which typically mark market tops by signifying intense selling, have consistently appeared at the end of previous bull cycles, such as in 2014, 2018, and 2021. So far, none has surfaced in this cycle.
In contrast, blue-circled areas highlight the Super Signals – moments when volume hits unprecedentedly low levels, while the broader trend remains positive. These signals tend to emerge at the onset or mid-stages of a rally, not at its zenith.
The present situation remains open-ended, with the price marking a question mark near today's level, suggesting that the current rally might still be unfolding. It's crucial to differentiate Super Signals from regular volume pivots. Not all volume dips lead to strong rallies; only Super Signals occur when volume plummets to extraordinarily low levels while the overall price structure remains intact.
Macroeconomic circumstances offer additional context. The fiscal landscape has shifted following the passage of the "One Big Beautiful Bill," fueling renewed government spending and raising concerns about long-term liquidity. Meanwhile, inflation expectations remain inflated, and risk assets are increasingly pricing in the possibility of a softer global monetary stance.
In this backdrop, Bitcoin clenches a structurally advantageous position. ETF flows continue to buoy demand, selling pressure remains limited, and trading volumes stay compressed – creating a setup where price can respond sharply if fresh capital enters.
On-chain behavior reflects a shift towards accumulation. According to Glassnode, wallets holding between 10 to 100 BTC now display a perfect accumulation score of 1.0, hinting at robust, sustained buying activity. The same score can be seen in wallets holding less than 1 BTC, suggesting growing retail interest.
Accumulation during low-volume phases typically reflects optimism. Participants are not indulging in a buying frenzy, but rather, they are positioning themselves strategically, waiting for confirmation before making more significant moves.
As always, cryptocurrency markets are volatile, and nothing is ever guaranteed. Always do your own research, and never invest more than you can afford to lose.
[1] https://www.glassnode.com[2] https://decrypt.co[3] https://cointelegraph.com[4] https://bitcoinmagazine.com[5] https://www.investopedia.com
- In light of the Bitcoin Super Signal emerging again, investors might want to consider adding tokens like XRP, TRON, and other cryptocurrencies to their wallets, as the signal has historically preceded significant bull runs.
- As institutional appetite remains robust, with USspot Bitcoin ETFs recording approximately $5.24 billion in net inflows during May, DeFi platforms and DEXs could potentially benefit from increased investing activity in the crypto finance sector.
- Since the current volume oscillator signal indicates record low trading volumes, it could be an opportune time for investors to take a strategic approach by accumulating Bitcoin as wallets holding between 10 to 100 BTC now display a perfect accumulation score, according to Glassnode.
- As macroeconomic circumstances shift with the passage of the "One Big Beautiful Bill," Bitcoin's structurally advantageous position suggests that it could potentially outperform other assets, especially considering the compressed trading volumes and continuing ETF inflows.
- As the past emergence of the Bitcoin Super Signal has catalyzed impressive rallies—such as the 10,600% surge in 2012 and the 3,461% climb in 2016—investors may want to explore potential investment opportunities in Defi, DEX, and other crypto projects that could potentially capitalize on a potential strong rally.
