Stock prices for the PlayStation (PSX) significantly increase, fueled by investments from mutual funds and strengthened foreign exchange reserves, generating optimism among investors.
In a significant development for Pakistan's economy, the country's foreign exchange reserves have reached a new high of $14.51 billion, surpassing the International Monetary Fund's (IMF) target of $13.9 billion. This increase, coupled with equity fund inflows into the stock market, is a positive sign for the country's economic stability and growth prospects.
The surge in foreign exchange reserves can be attributed to several key factors. A significant portion of the rise is due to official inflows and deposits from allied countries, such as China, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Qatar. China rolled over $3.4 billion in commercial loans, with $2.1 billion deposited directly with the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP). Other countries have contributed via deposits and investments, helping Pakistan shore up its reserves and maintain import cover.
The SBP's foreign reserves demonstrated a strong resurgence from a low of $2.9 billion in January 2023 to about $14.5 billion by June 2025, the highest in 39 months. This indicates improved confidence and financial stability, likely supported by government and central bank policies, foreign loans, and enhanced export earnings or remittance inflows.
The SBP's Open Market Operations (OMOs) have injected liquidity into the banking system through Shariah-compliant and conventional arrangements, facilitating smoother market functioning and possibly encouraging inflows.
The increase in foreign exchange reserves and macroeconomic stability often attracts foreign portfolio investment. When currency reserves rise and stabilize, investors gain confidence in the country's financial health. Recovery in reserves also improves Pakistan’s creditworthiness and reduces currency risk, making the stock market more attractive to foreign and domestic institutional investors.
The KSE-100 Index, Pakistan's benchmark stock index, closed at 138,665.49 points on Thursday, showing an increase of 295.02 points, or 0.22%. The index rallied to an intraday high of 138,943.47, gaining 2,563.51 points, or 1.88%, during the session. Mutual funds have invested more than $50 million in the equity markets after the budget increased tax on money market returns and SBP reserves.
The implications of these trends are broadly positive for Pakistan’s economic stability, currency stability, and capital market growth prospects. Higher reserves provide Pakistan with over three months’ import cover, reducing vulnerability to external shocks and currency crises. Robust FX reserves and liquidity injections boost investor confidence, leading to increased equity inflows and potentially higher stock valuations. Stable or rising reserves help stabilize the Pakistani rupee against the dollar, reducing exchange rate volatility and supporting business planning. Market liquidity injections by SBP help maintain smoother financial market operations, stimulate lending, and support economic activities. With improved reserves, Pakistan can better manage its external debt repayments and import bills, easing immediate balance of payments pressures.
In conclusion, Pakistan's increase in foreign exchange reserves is primarily driven by official inflows from friendly nations, favorable loan arrangements, and active central bank policies. This restoration of reserves underpins a sense of economic stability that encourages equity fund inflows into the stock market. The implications are broadly positive for Pakistan’s economic stability, currency stability, and capital market growth prospects.
[1] "Pakistan's Foreign Exchange Reserves Surge to $14.51 Billion." Dawn News, 1 July 2025. Web. 1 July 2025.
- The surge in Pakistan's foreign exchange reserves to $14.51 billion, a 39-month high, is largely due to official inflows and deposits from allied nations like China, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, and the US.
- The national bank of Pakistan, the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), played a significant role in this development through its Open Market Operations (OMOs), injecting liquidity into the banking system and encouraging inflows.
- The positive impact of this increase in foreign exchange reserves is expected to extend beyond the economic sector, as it could attract foreign portfolio investment and improve Pakistan’s creditworthiness.
- With these improved foreign exchange reserves, Pakistan now has over three months’ import cover, reducing vulnerability to external shocks and currency crises, and boosting its business planning and activities.