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Stock prices in Asia fluctuate in anticipation of the upcoming U.S. interest rate decision

Stock markets in Asia exhibited diverse performances, with investors adopting a wait-and-see approach in anticipation of a proposed US interest rate reduction on the following day.

Stock markets in Asia fluctuate, with investors holding off decisions, in anticipation of the...
Stock markets in Asia fluctuate, with investors holding off decisions, in anticipation of the upcoming U.S. interest rate announcement

Stock prices in Asia fluctuate in anticipation of the upcoming U.S. interest rate decision

In a mixed bag of economic news, global markets have seen some fluctuations this week as investors await the decision from the Federal Reserve and subsequent comments from Chair Jerome Powell.

The global rally that has lifted several indexes to record highs over recent weeks has caused traders to take a breather. The Dow Jones Industrial Average in New York closed down 0.3 percent at 45,757.90, while the FTSE 100 in London ended the day up 0.1 percent at 9,209.21. The Shanghai Composite in China ended the day up 0.4 percent at 3,876.34, and the Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong finished the day up 1.66 percent at 26,876.19.

The West Texas Intermediate was down 0.2 percent at $64.36 per barrel, and the Brent North Sea Crude was down 0.2 percent at $68.31 per barrel. The decline in oil prices may be due to a variety of factors, including a potential slowdown in economic growth and geopolitical tensions.

The Dollar/yen rate was up at 146.63 yen from 146.49 yen, while the Euro/dollar rate was down at $1.1843 from $1.1868 on Tuesday. The Pound/dollar rate was down at $1.3632 from $1.3657.

The data released on Wednesday showed that US retail sales surged more than forecast in August, but this did little to dampen optimism for interest rate cuts. Inflation remains above the Federal Reserve's two percent target, but the expected spike from US President Donald Trump's tariff war has not yet materialized.

The main debate among decision-makers revolves around the number and size of additional rate cuts. Economists anticipate divisions among decision-makers as they try to balance inflation and job support. Officials could dissent in both directions, even if most vote for a 25 basis points cut, a situation not seen since 2019.

The collapse of more than 28 percent in auto shipments from Japan to the US was a significant part of the 14 percent drop in Japan's exports to the United States last month. This is the biggest drop since 2021, due to Trump's tariffs.

KPMG-Chief Economist Lydia Boussour provides analysis on the Federal Reserve's decision and Jerome Powell's subsequent comments. Data indicating a less healthy US labor market than initially thought has led to expectations for an extended period of easing. Gold prices are hovering near a record above $3,700 due to the likelihood of lower rates making the precious metal more attractive to investors.

The Euro/pound rate remained flat at 86.88 pence from 86.87 pence. The Nikkei 225 in Tokyo closed down 0.25 percent at 44,790.38.

The Federal Reserve is expected to make a decision, and Jerome Powell will deliver post-meeting comments. Investors will be closely watching these developments to gauge the direction of the economy and the potential impact on their investments.

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