The vast majority of traders on Pump.fun fail to exceed profits of $10,000, with 99.6% missing the threshold.
In the dynamic world of cryptocurrency trading, Pump.fun has made a significant splash since its launch. The platform, which specialises in meme coin creation and trading, has seen a rollercoaster ride of revenue and token performance.
Revenue and Token Launch Performance
Pump.fun's daily revenue peaked at an impressive $7.07 million in January 2025, a figure that dropped to approximately $293,187 by July 2025, marking a 92% decline. This downward trend correlates with a 48% drop in the value of the platform's native PUMP token, due to large-scale sell-offs by investors [1].
The platform's initial coin offering (ICO) for the PUMP token in July 2024 was a resounding success, selling out in under 12 minutes and raising an impressive $600 million [1][3].
Trader Success Rate and Profitability
While specific data on individual trader success rates on Pump.fun are not publicly available, the ecosystem is heavily driven by speculative, high-risk meme coin trading. Research on meme coin markets shows extreme volatility and frequent market manipulation, such as wash trading and concentrated ownership, leading to artificially inflated prices and pump-and-dump schemes [2].
This volatile environment makes sustained profits difficult for typical traders and increases risk significantly. Price predictions for PUMP indicate modest returns from 2025 to 2026, with an example estimate showing a potential 5% ROI if holding $100 worth of PUMP until 2026 [4].
Comparison of Revenue and Market Cap vs. Meme Coin Volatility
| Aspect | Pump.fun Platform | General Meme Coin Market | |-----------------------------------|-----------------------------------------|--------------------------------------------------------| | Revenue (daily) | Peaked at $7.07M in Jan 2025, fell to ~$293K in July 2025[1] | Not directly quantified; driven by speculative trading | | ICO/Token sale raised | $600M in PUMP ICO sold out in 12 mins[1][3] | Multiple meme coins raised diverse amounts; often very volatile[2] | | Trader profit/ROI | Estimated modest (~5%) returns 2025-2026[4] | Highly variable; often subject to manipulation and risk of losses[2] | | Market volatility & manipulation | Seen with PUMP token declines and sell-offs; platform attempts incentives amid price falls[1] | High volatility, frequent price manipulations, pump-and-dump schemes prevalent[2] |
Summary
Pump.fun launched with a surge of speculative hype, generating hundreds of millions in token sales within minutes and millions in daily revenue at peak. However, the platform's revenue and native token price have experienced significant contraction by mid-2025.
While the platform enables rapid meme coin creation and trading, trader success rates are likely low due to the volatile, manipulation-prone nature of meme coins. Estimated investor returns moving forward appear modest, reflecting the challenging market conditions and declining enthusiasm compared to early 2025 highs.
Thus, Pump.fun exemplifies the broader meme coin market's extreme volatility, speculative gains, and high risk of significant losses associated with market manipulations and hype cycles. It's worth noting that more than 2 million tokens were launched on Pump.fun, but only 92 had a market capitalization surpassing $1 million. Additionally, the data on Pump.fun may underestimate the profits of users holding early-stage assets or coins integrated with Raydium due to the focus on realized profits.
The meme coin market volatility in December 2024 may have impacted the profits of users holding early-stage assets on Pump.fun. Some profitable users reportedly sold their early-stage assets or coins integrated with Raydium during this period, potentially impacting their profits. The exact impact on the profits and market capitalization of coins integrated with Raydium on Pump.fun is not explicitly stated.
[1] Data from Lookonchain [2] Research from Messari, Chainalysis, and other reputable sources [3] Data from Pump.fun's official announcements [4] Price predictions from various cryptocurrency analysis platforms
Investors looking to diversify their portfolios might consider investing in technology-driven companies that have a presence in the financial sector, such as Pump.fun, given its success in meme coin creation and trading. However, the technology used by Pump.fun, and other platforms like it, should be carefully evaluated, as volatility and potential risks, such as wash trading and concentrated ownership, may impact returns.
