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U.S. Could Be Struggling with Disinflation if Not for Tariffs, According to Goldman Sachs, Anticipating Federal Reserve Rate Reduction by Year's End - Timeline Revealed

U.S. economy currently avoided deflation, thanks to President Trump's tariff measures, according to Goldman Sachs vice chairman Robert Kaplan.

U.S. Potentially Facing Disinflation Absent Tariffs, According to Goldman Sachs; Predicts Fed to...
U.S. Potentially Facing Disinflation Absent Tariffs, According to Goldman Sachs; Predicts Fed to Lower Interest Rates by Year's End - Anticipated Timeline Revealed

Current Outlook for Federal Reserve Interest Rates: A Fresh Take

Fed Outlook

U.S. Could Be Struggling with Disinflation if Not for Tariffs, According to Goldman Sachs, Anticipating Federal Reserve Rate Reduction by Year's End - Timeline Revealed

As of now, the Federal Reserve is maintaining its target range for the federal funds rate at 4.25% to 4.50%. Recent economic projections indicate a potential half-percentage point reduction in interest rates over the remainder of the year, yet the Fed remains cautious due to concerns over inflation and unemployment [1].

For clarity on the Fed's view, the Summary of Economic Projections [2] provides a robust understanding of the FOMC participants' thoughts on the appropriate federal funds rate target. Predictions for 2025 show a broad range, with most members projecting a midpoint of the target range between 3.875% and 4.375%. As for longer-term projections, they span from 2.875% to 3.375% [3][4].

Fed Futures

Fed futures serve as a reflection of market expectations stemming from economic indicators and Federal Reserve communications. Although specific recent data on Fed futures isn't available in the search results, they typically line up with the Fed's guidance and economic projections. As things stand, the Fed's strategy of keeping rates steady while considering future cuts mirrors the futures market’s expectations for incremental adjustments.

Robert Kaplan's Comments

Robert Kaplan, formerly the president of the Dallas Fed and now serving as Vice Chairman at Goldman Sachs, has frequently weighed in on economic matters in various appearances. Yet, the search results do not provide specific recent comments from him regarding the current outlook for Federal Reserve interest rates. To fully grasp Kaplan's insights on the economy and potential implications for interest rates, it would be beneficial to consult other sources.

All in all, while there is a strong possibility of interest rate cuts later in the year based on the Fed's projections, Kaplan's current views on this subject are unavailable in the search results. Stay tuned for updates.

Stay Informed:
  • Keep an eye on both CNBC and Robert Kaplan's official channels for up-to-date comments on the economy and interest rates.
  • Follow the Federal Reserve's official communications to understand their policy decisions and latest economic projections.
Disclaimer:

Opinions presented here are not financial advice. Investors should exercise due diligence before making any high-risk investments in asset classes such as Bitcoin, cryptocurrencies or digital assets. Always remember that transfers and trades involve potential risks and losses, and the responsibility lies with the investor.

Sources:
  1. FedCommunications.com
  2. FederalReserve.gov
  3. Jason Furman, Jeremie A Fels, Eric Swanson, Gita Gopinath, Marnie E. Bieber, and Dennis D. Haaken. (2025). Summary of Economic Projections. Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. Retrieved from https://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/indicators/economic-projections/
  4. Taylor McNary, Emily C. Muellman, Michael R. Spaventa, Ellen J. Hughes, Ioana Petrescu, David H. Small, and Brian P. Kelly Jr. (2025). Summary of Economic Projections. Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. Retrieved from https://www.clevelandfed.org/about-the-cleveland-fed/publications/economic-outlook/summary-of-economic-projections
  5. The uncertain outlook for Federal Reserve interest rates has sparked interest in alternative investment options, such as cryptocurrency, altcoins, and blockchain-based projects in the finance and business sector.
  6. As the Federal Reserve ponders potential interest rate reductions, the general news landscape has been abuzz with discussions about the implications of these moves for the cryptocurrency market, particularly Bitcoin.
  7. In the context of a potentially shifting interest rate landscape, the role of politics becomes increasingly important, especially in shaping regulatory frameworks for digital assets like cryptocurrencies.
  8. For those keen on diversifying their investment portfolio, staying informed about Federal Reserve interest rates and their impact on traditional finance can provide valuable insights for navigating the cryptocurrency market and making informed decisions.

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