Why the Economy Tumbl'd More Than Expected in April
U.S. tariff increase leads to significant decrease in British exports, causing a contraction in the UK economy
The UK's economic output, GDP, plummeted a whopping 0.3% in April, disappointing economists who predicted a minuscule 0.1% contraction. This slip happened in the wake of President Trump's tariff shenanigans and a global trade war sparking with China.
Trump's Tariff Tantrum
Trump's so-called Draconian Taxes kicked in, sending businesses reeling with steep tariffs causing a trade scuffle. The worst part? A substantial downturn of goods shipped to the U.S., making it the largest monthly fall ever recorded.
Beyond Tariffs: Other Economic Hiccups
- Services Sezzzor (Sector Melt): The services sector, accounting for roughly 80% of economic output, took a dive, contracting by 0.4%. Part of this was due to property purchases surging in March thanks to lowered Stamp Duty Land Tax, causing a subsequent slump in April. Legal and real estate firms suffered too, as house sales slacked off.
- Unhappy Motorists: The auto manufacturing sector faced a poor performance after a strong start.
- Government Policy Pinch: Businesses groaned under the weight of higher minimum wages and employer national insurance contributions.
Construction: One Silver Lining
Despite the broader economic downturn, construction managed to eke out a 0.9% increase in output.
The economic contraction has raised worries about the UK's resilience and may influence Bank of England decision makers.
Sources
- UK Economy Shrinks More Than Expected in April
- UK construction output rises in April, but falls in services
- Why the UK economy slowed down in April
- UK manufacturing shrinks amid trade tensions and chip shortage
The trade scuffle, initiated by Trump's Draconian Taxes resulting in steep tariffs, significantly impacted businesses within the industry sector. Unfavorable finance policies, such as higher minimum wages and employer national insurance contributions, further strained the business environment.